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How to read Forex Metrics Currency Index and Continuous Moving Average |
| How to read Forex Metrics Currency Basket |
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| Forex Metrics Currency Index with Continuous Moving Average |
| Tuesday, March 09, 2010 |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index - Individual Currency Analysis |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index and Continuous Moving Average of Index |
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C.M.A. |
CURRENT FMCI |
POINT DIFFERENCE |
PERCENTAGE DIFFERENCE |
CURRENCY TREND |
| USD |
1.2745 |
1.1683 |
-0.1062 |
-8.3361% |
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| EUR |
1.8317 |
1.5930 |
-0.2387 |
-13.0311% |
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| GBP |
2.2317 |
1.7554 |
-0.4763 |
-21.3408% |
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| JPY |
0.0019 |
0.0020 |
0.0001 |
6.4464% |
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| CHF |
1.1731 |
1.0865 |
-0.0866 |
-7.3804% |
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| CAD |
1.1831 |
1.1375 |
-0.0456 |
-3.8502% |
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| AUD |
1.0653 |
1.0677 |
0.0024 |
0.2210% |
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| NZD |
0.8744 |
0.8185 |
-0.0559 |
-6.3949% |
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| HKD |
0.1545 |
0.1409 |
-0.0136 |
-8.8076% |
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| SGD |
0.8885 |
0.8321 |
-0.0564 |
-6.3489% |
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| C.M.A. / FMCI |
1.0678 |
0.9602 |
-0.1076 |
-10.0776% |
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| Upward Trend |
Neutral Trend |
Downward Trend |
| C.M.A. = CONTINUOUS MOVING AVERAGE |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index - CURRENCY PAIR ANALYSIS |
| CURRENCY PAIR |
Ist Currency |
Currency / CMA-FMCI |
2nd currency |
Currency / CMA-FMCI |
Currency Pair Analysis |
| EUR/USD |
-13.0311% |
|
-8.3361% |
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| GBP/USD |
-21.3408% |
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-8.3361% |
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| USD/JPY |
-8.3361% |
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6.4464% |
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| USD/CHF |
-8.3361% |
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-7.3804% |
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| USD/CAD |
-8.3361% |
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-3.8502% |
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| AUD/USD |
0.2210% |
|
-8.3361% |
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| Strong |
HOLD |
Weak |
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FOREX METRICS CURRENCY INDEX - OUTLOOK
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*Forex Metrics Currency Index is consolidating positively and currency baskets are trending upwards signifying change of trend. |
| CMA Greater than FMCI indicates a net negative economic growth and recession. |
| FMCI Support & Resistance Level |
Support |
Resistance |
| 0.9150 |
1.1150 |
* Recession will be said to be over only when FMCI crosses CMA.
*
Mild inflationary trend expected once FMCI crosses CMA.
* Job loss globally sites bottom and unemployment level will consolidate.
* Increase in GDP will be through increase in level of productivity.
*
Unemployment
level in develop economy to stabilize but will not fall. |
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How to read Forex Metrics Currency Index and Continuous Moving Average
- Forex Metrics Currency Index quantifies fundamental changes in
individual economy as well as global economy by measuring the changes in relative currencies value through individual currency Index.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index represents Value of single global currency or Reserve Currency.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index upward movement indicates a positive fundamental outlook of global economic growth.
- Upward movement in Individual currency basket / index indicates a positive outlook of that particular economy.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index downward movement indicates a negative fundamental outlook of global economic growth.
- Downward movement in Individual currency basket / index indicates a positive outlook of that particular economy.
- Continuous Moving Average (CMA) of Forex Metrics Currency Index is a long term average that signifies long term fundamental outlook.
- FMCI greater than CMA Global economic outlook is Positive.
- FMCI less than CMA Global economic outlook is Negative.
- When FMCI crosses CMA, it signifies a fundamental change of trend.
- Difference between FMCI and CMA signifies intensity of boom or burst in global economic scenario.
- Higher the difference, higher the volatility in value of currencies and economic uncertainty.
- Small difference indicates stability in global economics and value of currencies.
- If CMA is greater than FMCI: Increasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies severity in net global economic growth and recession/deflationary pressure.
- If CMA is greater than FMCI: Decreasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies net global economic recovery and easing of recessionary/deflationary pressure.
- If CMA is less than FMCI: Increasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies boom in net global economic growth and rising inflationary pressure.
- If CMA is less than FMCI: Decreasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies stabilizing net global economic growth and easing inflationary pressure.
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How to read FMCI Currency Basket?
Forex Metrics Currency Index is based on 10 Major convertible currencies and it is an average of 10 currency indices.
- If CMA of a currency Basket is less than FMCI: Currency is Bullish.
- If CMA of a currency basket is greater than FMCI of basket: Currency basket is Bearish.
- If individual currency index is above its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Negative, that particular currency index is read as bullish.
- If individual currency index is above its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Positive, that particular currency index is read as relatively bullish.
- If individual currency index is below its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Positive, that particular currency index is read as bearish.
- If individual currency index is below its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Negative, that particular currency index is read as relatively bearish.
- Crossover of CMA over FMCI is change of trend of that particular basket.
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